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Dev gam pyro rebase (#298)
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* more fliexible plot components

* adding doc string

* refresh banner and icon

* read me link

* more banners

* testing new dim of banner

* Predict fix (#281)

* fix regressor matrix extraction

* unit test for cases with mixed pos&reg regressors

* adding logo and some style for tutorial and docs

* favicon

* initialize `_regressor_col` in __init__()

* small version bump

* fix matplotlib

* Create orbit.css

* reorder fourier series calculation to match the df (#286)

* plot utility enhancement (#287)

* return the plotting object

* receive returned plotting object to avoid dual display

* return plotting axes object

* Setup TravisCI deployment for PyPI (#292)

* Setup TravisCI deployment for PyPI

* debug deployment in travis YAML

* debug travis pypi deployment (#293)

* Debug travis package deployment (#294)

* setup.py and module uses same version number

* fix travis config for pypi deploy

* dpl v2 for travis config (#295)

* realign version number for module and release

In testing and configuring travis ci for pypi deployment, version numbers were misaligned. Realigning the version number here with the latest release version number.

* Update README.rst (#297)

* Update README.rst

* Update README.rst

* Update README.rst

* Update README.rst

* Update README.rst

* Update README.rst

* minor changes

- allow plot components to take subset
- expose dof of gam

* fourier seris column order correction

Co-authored-by: Zhishi Wang <wangzhishi@users.noreply.github.com>
Co-authored-by: Steve Yang <steven.s.yang@gmail.com>
Co-authored-by: Zhishi Wang <zhishiw@uber.com>
Co-authored-by: Yifeng Wu <yifeng.wu@uber.com>
Co-authored-by: Steve Yang <steve.yang@uber.com>
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6 people authored Nov 26, 2020
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Showing 28 changed files with 211 additions and 48 deletions.
13 changes: 12 additions & 1 deletion .travis.yml
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Expand Up @@ -27,6 +27,17 @@ jobs:
# environment variable in Travis see below.
- fossa init
- fossa analyze
- stage: deploy
script: skip
deploy:
provider: pypi
edge: true
username: "__token__"
password: $PYPI_API_TOKEN
on:
tags: true
skip_existing: true
distributions: "sdist bdist_wheel"

after_success:
- cd orbit && fossa test
- fossa test
35 changes: 28 additions & 7 deletions README.rst
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@@ -1,15 +1,23 @@
.. image:: docs/img/orbit-icon-small.png
.. image:: docs/img/orbit-banner.png

-------------------------------------------

**Disclaimer: Orbit requires PyStan as a system dependency. PyStan is
licensed under** `GPLv3 <https://www.gnu.org/licenses/gpl-3.0.html>`__ **,
which is a free, copyleft license for software.**
|pypi| |travis| |downloads|

Orbit is a Python package for time series modeling and inference
using Bayesian sampling methods for model estimation. It provides a
Disclaimer
==========

This project

- is stable and being incubated for long-term support. It may contain new experimental code, for which APIs are subject to change.
- requires PyStan as a system dependency. PyStan is licensed under `GPLv3 <https://www.gnu.org/licenses/gpl-3.0.html>`__, which is a free, copyleft license for software.

Orbit: A Python package for Bayesian forecasting models
====================

Orbit is a Python package for Bayesian forecasting models developed under object-oriented design. It provides a
familiar and intuitive initialize-fit-predict interface for working with
time series tasks, while utilizing probabilistic modeling under
time series tasks, while utilizing probabilistic modeling api under
the hood.

The initial release supports concrete implementation for the following
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -134,3 +142,16 @@ Related projects
- `Pyro <https://github.com/pyro-ppl/pyro>`__
- `Stan <https://github.com/stan-dev/stan>`__
- `Rlgt <https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/Rlgt/index.html>`__


.. |pypi| image:: https://badge.fury.io/py/orbit-ml.svg
:target: https://badge.fury.io/py/orbit-ml
:alt: pypi

.. |travis| image:: https://travis-ci.com/uber/orbit.svg?branch=master
:target: https://travis-ci.com/uber/orbit
:alt: travis

.. |downloads| image:: https://static.pepy.tech/personalized-badge/orbit-ml?period=month&units=international_system&left_color=blue&right_color=grey&left_text=Downloads
:target: https://pepy.tech/project/orbit-ml
:alt: downloads
29 changes: 29 additions & 0 deletions docs/_static/css/orbit.css
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@@ -0,0 +1,29 @@
@import url("theme.css");

.wy-side-nav-search {
background-color: #276EF1;
}

.wy-side-nav-search a {
margin: 0
}

.wy-side-nav-search > div.version {
color: #ffffff;
}

.wy-nav-top {
background: #949CE3;
}

.wy-menu-vertical li.on a, .wy-menu-vertical li.current>a {
background: #c4cfd4;
}

.wy-side-nav-search input[type=text] {
border-color: #313131;
}

.wy-side-nav-search>a img.logo, .wy-side-nav-search .wy-dropdown>a img.logo {
max-width: 40%;
}
19 changes: 19 additions & 0 deletions docs/conf.py
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Expand Up @@ -12,6 +12,7 @@

import os
import sys
import sphinx_rtd_theme
sys.path.insert(0, os.path.abspath('..'))
import matplotlib
import orbit
Expand All @@ -38,6 +39,7 @@
# 'sphinx.ext.autosummary',
# 'sphinx.ext.doctest',
'sphinx.ext.mathjax',
'sphinx.ext.githubpages',
# 'sphinx.ext.viewcode',
'sphinx.ext.napoleon',
'nbsphinx',
Expand All @@ -62,6 +64,7 @@
# a list of builtin themes.
#
html_theme = 'sphinx_rtd_theme'
html_theme_path = [sphinx_rtd_theme.get_html_theme_path()]

html_context = {
'display_github': True,
Expand All @@ -70,10 +73,26 @@
'github_version': 'master/docs/',
}

# logo
html_logo = 'img/orbit-logo-black.png'

# Theme options are theme-specific and customize the look and feel of a theme
# further. For a list of options available for each theme, see the
# documentation.
#
html_theme_options = {
# 'logo_only': False,
'navigation_depth': 3,
}

# Add any paths that contain custom static files (such as style sheets) here,
# relative to this directory. They are copied after the builtin static files,
# so a file named "default.css" will overwrite the builtin "default.css".
html_static_path = ['_static']
html_style = 'css/orbit.css'


html_favicon = 'img/favicon/favicon.ico'

napoleon_numpy_docstring = True
napoleon_include_init_with_doc = True
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3 changes: 2 additions & 1 deletion docs/tutorials/decompose_prediction.ipynb
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Expand Up @@ -25,6 +25,7 @@
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"%matplotlib inline\n",
"import pandas as pd\n",
"import numpy as np\n",
"from orbit.models.dlt import DLTMAP, DLTFull\n",
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -197,7 +198,7 @@
"name": "python",
"nbconvert_exporter": "python",
"pygments_lexer": "ipython3",
"version": "3.7.7"
"version": "3.6.8"
},
"toc": {
"base_numbering": 1,
Expand Down
3 changes: 2 additions & 1 deletion docs/tutorials/dlt.ipynb
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Expand Up @@ -72,6 +72,7 @@
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"%matplotlib inline\n",
"import pandas as pd\n",
"import numpy as np\n",
"from orbit.models.dlt import DLTMAP, DLTFull, DLTAggregated\n",
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -625,7 +626,7 @@
"name": "python",
"nbconvert_exporter": "python",
"pygments_lexer": "ipython3",
"version": "3.7.7"
"version": "3.6.8"
},
"toc": {
"base_numbering": 1,
Expand Down
11 changes: 6 additions & 5 deletions docs/tutorials/lgt.ipynb
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Expand Up @@ -60,6 +60,7 @@
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"%matplotlib inline\n",
"import pandas as pd\n",
"import numpy as np\n",
"from orbit.models.lgt import LGTMAP, LGTAggregated, LGTFull\n",
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -162,8 +163,8 @@
"name": "stdout",
"output_type": "stream",
"text": [
"CPU times: user 227 ms, sys: 14 ms, total: 241 ms\n",
"Wall time: 527 ms\n"
"CPU times: user 223 ms, sys: 9.22 ms, total: 232 ms\n",
"Wall time: 317 ms\n"
]
}
],
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -265,8 +266,8 @@
"name": "stdout",
"output_type": "stream",
"text": [
"CPU times: user 74.3 ms, sys: 64.2 ms, total: 138 ms\n",
"Wall time: 8.14 s\n"
"CPU times: user 70.2 ms, sys: 67 ms, total: 137 ms\n",
"Wall time: 8.44 s\n"
]
}
],
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -320,7 +321,7 @@
"name": "python",
"nbconvert_exporter": "python",
"pygments_lexer": "ipython3",
"version": "3.7.7"
"version": "3.6.8"
},
"toc": {
"base_numbering": 1,
Expand Down
3 changes: 2 additions & 1 deletion docs/tutorials/pyro_basic.ipynb
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Expand Up @@ -29,6 +29,7 @@
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"%matplotlib inline\n",
"import pandas as pd\n",
"import numpy as np\n",
"from orbit.models.lgt import LGTMAP, LGTAggregated, LGTFull\n",
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -303,7 +304,7 @@
"name": "python",
"nbconvert_exporter": "python",
"pygments_lexer": "ipython3",
"version": "3.7.7"
"version": "3.6.8"
},
"toc": {
"base_numbering": 1,
Expand Down
3 changes: 2 additions & 1 deletion docs/tutorials/quick_start.ipynb
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Expand Up @@ -18,6 +18,7 @@
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"%matplotlib inline\n",
"import pandas as pd\n",
"import numpy as np\n",
"import warnings\n",
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -210,7 +211,7 @@
"name": "python",
"nbconvert_exporter": "python",
"pygments_lexer": "ipython3",
"version": "3.7.7"
"version": "3.6.8"
},
"toc": {
"base_numbering": 1,
Expand Down
8 changes: 4 additions & 4 deletions examples/DLT_Example.ipynb
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Expand Up @@ -210,7 +210,7 @@
}
],
"source": [
"plot_predicted_data(training_actual_df=df, predicted_df=predicted_df, \n",
"_ = plot_predicted_data(training_actual_df=df, predicted_df=predicted_df, \n",
" date_col=dlt.date_col, actual_col=dlt.response_col)"
]
},
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -298,7 +298,7 @@
}
],
"source": [
"plot_predicted_data(training_actual_df=df, predicted_df=predicted_df_dlt_log, \n",
"_ = plot_predicted_data(training_actual_df=df, predicted_df=predicted_df_dlt_log, \n",
" date_col=dlt_log.date_col, actual_col=dlt_log.response_col)"
]
},
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -386,7 +386,7 @@
}
],
"source": [
"plot_predicted_data(training_actual_df=df, predicted_df=predicted_df_dlt_logit, \n",
"_ = plot_predicted_data(training_actual_df=df, predicted_df=predicted_df_dlt_logit, \n",
" date_col=dlt_log.date_col, actual_col=dlt_log.response_col)"
]
},
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -467,7 +467,7 @@
}
],
"source": [
"plot_predicted_data(training_actual_df=df, predicted_df=predicted_df_dlt_logit, \n",
"_ = plot_predicted_data(training_actual_df=df, predicted_df=predicted_df_dlt_logit, \n",
" date_col=dlt_log.date_col, actual_col=dlt_log.response_col)"
]
}
Expand Down
2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion examples/Daily_Forecast_Example.ipynb
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Expand Up @@ -243,7 +243,7 @@
}
],
"source": [
"plot_predicted_data(training_actual_df=df[-90:], predicted_df=predicted_df[-90:], \n",
"_ = plot_predicted_data(training_actual_df=df[-90:], predicted_df=predicted_df[-90:], \n",
" test_actual_df=test_df, date_col=dlt.date_col,\n",
" actual_col='sales')"
]
Expand Down
6 changes: 3 additions & 3 deletions examples/LGT_Example.ipynb
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Expand Up @@ -419,7 +419,7 @@
}
],
"source": [
"plot_predicted_data(training_actual_df=train_df, predicted_df=predicted_df, \n",
"_ = plot_predicted_data(training_actual_df=train_df, predicted_df=predicted_df, \n",
" date_col=date_col, actual_col=response_col, \n",
" test_actual_df=test_df)"
]
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -610,7 +610,7 @@
}
],
"source": [
"plot_predicted_data(training_actual_df=train_df, predicted_df=predicted_df, \n",
"_ = plot_predicted_data(training_actual_df=train_df, predicted_df=predicted_df, \n",
" date_col=lgt.date_col, actual_col=lgt.response_col, \n",
" test_actual_df=test_df)"
]
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -884,7 +884,7 @@
}
],
"source": [
"plot_predicted_components(predicted_df=predicted_df, date_col=date_col)"
"_ = plot_predicted_components(predicted_df=predicted_df, date_col=date_col)"
]
}
],
Expand Down
10 changes: 5 additions & 5 deletions examples/LGT_Pyro_Example.ipynb
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Expand Up @@ -196,7 +196,7 @@
],
"source": [
"predicted_df = lgt_map.predict(df=test_df)\n",
"plot_predicted_data(training_actual_df=train_df, predicted_df=predicted_df, \n",
"_ = plot_predicted_data(training_actual_df=train_df, predicted_df=predicted_df, \n",
" date_col=lgt_map.date_col, actual_col=lgt_map.response_col, \n",
" test_actual_df=test_df)"
]
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -314,17 +314,17 @@
}
],
"source": [
"plot_predicted_data(training_actual_df=train_df, predicted_df=predicted_df, \n",
"_ = plot_predicted_data(training_actual_df=train_df, predicted_df=predicted_df, \n",
" date_col=lgt_vi.date_col, actual_col=lgt_vi.response_col, \n",
" test_actual_df=test_df)"
]
}
],
"metadata": {
"kernelspec": {
"display_name": "orbit",
"display_name": "Python 3",
"language": "python",
"name": "orbit"
"name": "python3"
},
"language_info": {
"codemirror_mode": {
Expand All @@ -336,7 +336,7 @@
"name": "python",
"nbconvert_exporter": "python",
"pygments_lexer": "ipython3",
"version": "3.6.8"
"version": "3.7.7"
},
"toc": {
"base_numbering": 1,
Expand Down
2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion orbit/__init__.py
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@@ -1,3 +1,3 @@
name = 'orbit'
__version__ = '1.0.5'
__version__ = '1.0.10'

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