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Add TRA Model
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evanzd authored Jun 25, 2021
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# Learning Multiple Stock Trading Patterns with Temporal Routing Adaptor and Optimal Transport

This code provides a PyTorch implementation for TRA (Temporal Routing Adaptor), as described in the paper [Learning Multiple Stock Trading Patterns with Temporal Routing Adaptor and Optimal Transport](http://arxiv.org/abs/2106.12950).

* TRA (Temporal Routing Adaptor) is a lightweight module that consists of a set of independent predictors for learning multiple patterns as well as a router to dispatch samples to different predictors.
* We also design a learning algorithm based on Optimal Transport (OT) to obtain the optimal sample to predictor assignment and effectively optimize the router with such assignment through an auxiliary loss term.


# Running TRA

## Requirements
- Install `Qlib` main branch

## Running

We attach our running scripts for the paper in `run.sh`.

And here are two ways to run the model:

* Running from scripts with default parameters
You can directly run from Qlib command `qrun`:
```
qrun configs/config_alstm.yaml
```
* Running from code with self-defined parameters
Setting different parameters is also allowed. See codes in `example.py`:
```
python example.py --config_file configs/config_alstm.yaml
```
Here we trained TRA on a pretrained backbone model. Therefore we run `*_init.yaml` before TRA's scipts.
# Results
## Outputs
After running the scripts, you can find result files in path `./output`:
`info.json` - config settings and result metrics.
`log.csv` - running logs.
`model.bin` - the model parameter dictionary.
`pred.pkl` - the prediction scores and output for inference.
## Our Results
| Methods | MSE| MAE| IC | ICIR | AR | AV | SR | MDD |
|-------------------|-------------------|---------------------|--------------------|--------------------|--------------------|--------------------|--------------------|--------------------|
|Linear|0.163|0.327|0.020|0.132|-3.2%|16.8%|-0.191|32.1%|
|LightGBM|0.160(0.000)|0.323(0.000)|0.041|0.292|7.8%|15.5%|0.503|25.7%|
|MLP|0.160(0.002)|0.323(0.003)|0.037|0.273|3.7%|15.3%|0.264|26.2%|
|SFM|0.159(0.001) |0.321(0.001) |0.047 |0.381 |7.1% |14.3% |0.497 |22.9%|
|ALSTM|0.158(0.001) |0.320(0.001) |0.053 |0.419 |12.3% |13.7% |0.897 |20.2%|
|Trans.|0.158(0.001) |0.322(0.001) |0.051 |0.400 |14.5% |14.2% |1.028 |22.5%|
|ALSTM+TS|0.160(0.002) |0.321(0.002) |0.039 |0.291 |6.7% |14.6% |0.480|22.3%|
|Trans.+TS|0.160(0.004) |0.324(0.005) |0.037 |0.278 |10.4% |14.7% |0.722 |23.7%|
|ALSTM+TRA(Ours)|0.157(0.000) |0.318(0.000) |0.059 |0.460 |12.4% |14.0% |0.885 |20.4%|
|Trans.+TRA(Ours)|0.157(0.000) |0.320(0.000) |0.056 |0.442 |16.1% |14.2% |1.133 |23.1%|
A more detailed demo for our experiment results in the paper can be found in `Report.ipynb`.
# Common Issues
For help or issues using TRA, please submit a GitHub issue.
Sometimes we might encounter situation where the loss is `NaN`, please check the `epsilon` parameter in the sinkhorn algorithm, adjusting the `epsilon` according to input's scale is important.
# Citation
If you find this repository useful in your research, please cite:
```
@inproceedings{HengxuKDD2021,
author = {Hengxu Lin and Dong Zhou and Weiqing Liu and Jiang Bian},
title = {Learning Multiple Stock Trading Patterns with Temporal Routing Adaptor and Optimal Transport},
booktitle = {Proceedings of the 27th ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery \& Data Mining},
series = {KDD '21},
year = {2021},
publisher = {ACM},
}
```
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