ResamplingCustom with observation weights, class weights and class costs

[camsique]

Currently mlr supports observation weights for a task. In situations when the observation weights could change in resampling training instances (time series) it would be beneficial to extend the ResamplingCustom function to accommodate this. An extension for custom observation weights, class weights and class costs is general and gives the user the ability to use the mlr3 framework in more ways.

There is a forecasting extension for mlr3, but this proposal does not collide with that extension.

This is my first pull request ever so please excuse any errors and deviations from good practice. Mistakes will be of course corrected.

Mlr used wrappers for extending learners and tasks. It would be necessary to create some wrappers to be used after custom weights resampling. What is the plan for mlr3 in this regard? In case this proposal is accepted I could try to make such wrapper.

[codecov]

Codecov Report

Merging #239 into master will decrease coverage by 2.2%.
The diff coverage is 29.41%.

@@            Coverage Diff             @@
##           master     #239      +/-   ##
==========================================
- Coverage   92.58%   90.38%   -2.21%     
==========================================
  Files          76       75       -1     
  Lines        1997     1956      -41     
==========================================
- Hits         1849     1768      -81     
- Misses        148      188      +40

Impacted Files	Coverage Δ
R/Resampling.R	88.09% <0%> (-6.78%)	⬇️
R/ResamplingCustom.R	65.71% <35.71%> (-26.6%)	⬇️
R/Measure.R	68.18% <0%> (-27.28%)	⬇️
R/TaskSupervised.R	80% <0%> (-20%)	⬇️
R/BenchmarkResult.R	78.43% <0%> (-19.61%)	⬇️
R/Log.R	78.26% <0%> (-16.48%)	⬇️
R/Prediction.R	77.77% <0%> (-9.73%)	⬇️
R/Experiment.R	88.65% <0%> (-6.02%)	⬇️
R/assertions.R	69.11% <0%> (-2.95%)	⬇️
... and 22 more

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[mllg]

I'm not sure if I understand the purpose of observation weights which change during resampling, but I have only little experience with modeling time series. Can you maybe give an example how the weights are used for forecasting tasks, so that I can see the bigger picture?

@berndbischl Can you also have a look?

[camsique]

Sure, let`s imagine the following situations. We have data for a couple of years. We want to train on sliding window, but also want to give older observations smaller weight as they can be less informative. One observation can be present in more training sets. Either because of the using the GrowingCV, or depending on the time length of the training set. In one training set the given observation could be the newest observation and in another training set the same observation could be the oldest observation. Attaching the same weight to that observation in different sets might not be desirable.

[mllg]

Thanks for your example, I think I got it.

I believe that what you describe could be solved with a pipeline operator in a much more generic fashion. Such an operator would get the training task as input and then incorporates weights into the task before passing the task down to the learner. We could allow arbitrary weighting functions, but I assume that weights usually decay exponentially and that we usually need tasks with a column which defines the order of observations (column role "order" in mlr3).

I can write a prototype for that after my vacation (in approx. 2 weeks). Maybe @mb706 finds time to look at the problem first, or you can familiarize yourself with mlr3pipelines.

[camsique]

Many thanks for bringing mlr3pipelines to my attention. I have seen it as an extension, but was not aware of the usage. I will have a look and try it.
You are correct to assume that the weighting is usually exponential, but the more general framework the better.
As for the need to define order of observations. I have great experience to use "keyed" data.table for time series. That "key" might be of use here as well.

[berndbischl]

Hi I also think I understand what is wanted here and in general thing that this I a useful thing to support. And it might belong to pipelines.

What mlr3 now needs to support are dynamically settable, mutateable weights on observation level. We do have this right?

[camsique]

After looking into mlr3pipelines I am not sure how a PipeOp (with custom CV) would be iteratively used to train a learner. I think it would be beneficial to have as much free room as possible and the current ResampleCustom approach gives just that. However this opinion is based on lack of broader understaing of mlr3 framework. Where to implement is a design question not for me to comment on.
If you make a decision and point me in the right direction I will try to fit it in the mlr3 framework.

[topepo]

As we make similar changes in tidymodels, I'm not sure how to handle this for situations were the weights are pattern counts. If I had two categorical predictors and a lot of data, it would be efficient to encode the data as the unique combinations of the categorical columns (outcome included) and the case weight would be n per pattern. For example:

   y       x_1   x_2   weight
   <chr>   <chr> <chr>  <dbl>
   class_1 a     A         29
   class_1 a     B         22
   class_1 a     C         70
   class_1 b     A         52
   class_1 b     B         66
   class_1 b     C         92
   class_2 a     A         28
   class_2 a     B         76
   class_2 a     C         80
   class_2 b     A         25
   class_2 b     B         60
   class_2 b     C         37

So, when splitting, should the pattern counts be split so that patterns go into both training and test or do they stay in one of those data sets randomly. I see bias in the performance metric either way but would probably distribute the patterns across both data sets. Any thoughts?

[pat-s]

@mllg We should decide how to move forward with this proposal.

[topepo]

In case it helps, for resampling, our current plan in tidymodels is to have an optional (case) weights argument for frequency weights. We'll make the splits by appropriately by sampling the weights column.

For example, if you have a weight of 50 for a row and do 10-fold CV, the modeling partition will get a weight of 45 and the performance holdout will get 5. I feel that this is fairly dangerous in some cases (a same data pattern in both partitions) but users will have to opt-in to this type of splitting.

We are also weaving case weights through the preprocessing, modeling, and performance estimation parts. Very tedious but needs to happen. We'll eventually write up a document along the lines of "so you want to use case weights..." since there is some nuance that people may not have thought about much.

[be-marc]

Closed by #1065