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Quantile-Based Long-Short Trading Strategy

Overview

This project implements and analyzes weekly and monthly quantile trading strategies using financial ratios. The core approach is a top-and-bottom decile long-short strategy with dynamic position sizing based on ranking changes in fundamental ratios.

Trading Strategy Framework

Ratios Analyzed

  • Debt to Market Cap
  • Return on Investment
  • Price to Earnings
  • At least one non-trivial combination of these ratios

Portfolio Parameters

  • Initial capital: 10× first month's gross notional
  • Zero trading costs assumed
  • Fractional shares allowed
  • Easy borrowing with repo rate = funding rate - 100 bps
  • Portfolio adjusts for realized/unrealized P&L
  • Funding rate: rolling 3-month LIBOR/SOFR

Performance Metrics

  • Sharpe ratio and other risk-adjusted metrics
  • Downside beta assessment
  • Tail risk analysis
  • Maximum drawdown calculation
  • P&L vs. traded notional comparison

Data Requirements

Data Source

  • Nasdaq Zacks Fundamentals B dataset
  • Tables used: FC, FR, MT, MKTV, SHRC, HDM

Universe Selection Criteria

  • 200+ U.S. equities (2017–2024)
  • Market cap ≥ $1M
  • Debt/Market Cap > 0.1 at some point
  • Excludes automotive, financial, and insurance sectors

Strategy Enhancements

Dynamic Positioning

  • Positions based on changes in ratios rather than just absolute values
  • Position sizing adjustments:
    • Most attractive vigintiles: Double position
    • Untrustworthy outliers: Halve position

Project Goals

This study aims to evaluate the effectiveness of fundamental factor-based quantitative trading strategies and their impact on risk-adjusted returns. The research focuses on how dynamic position sizing and ratio change analysis can enhance portfolio performance compared to traditional static approaches.

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Quantamental Strategy based on Quandl/Zacks data

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