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stock_pred_hyperopt.py
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#
# Copyright (c) 2019. Asutosh Nayak (nayak.asutosh@ymail.com)
#
# Licensed under the Apache License, Version 2.0 (the "License");
# you may not use this file except in compliance with the License.
# You may obtain a copy of the License at
#
# http://www.apache.org/licenses/LICENSE-2.0
#
"""
Sample python script to show how to use hyperopt for hyperparameter tuning
"""
try:
from hyperopt import Trials, STATUS_OK, tpe, fmin, hp
except:
!pip install hyperopt
from hyperopt import Trials, STATUS_OK, tpe
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
import os
import sys
import time
import pandas as pd
from tqdm._tqdm_notebook import tqdm_notebook as tqdm
import pickle
from keras.models import Sequential
from keras.layers import Dense, Dropout, Flatten
from keras.layers import Embedding
from keras.layers import LSTM
import keras
from keras.callbacks import Callback
from keras import optimizers
from keras.wrappers.scikit_learn import KerasClassifier
from keras.callbacks import CSVLogger
from sklearn.model_selection import GridSearchCV
# import psutil
from sklearn.preprocessing import MinMaxScaler, normalize
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
from sklearn.metrics import accuracy_score, mean_squared_error
import logging
import itertools as it
os.environ['TF_CPP_MIN_LOG_LEVEL'] = '2'
logging.getLogger("tensorflow").setLevel(logging.ERROR)
from keras import backend as K
print("checking if GPU available", K.tensorflow_backend._get_available_gpus())
print("current path", os.getcwd())
INPUT_PATH = os.path.join(PATH_TO_DRIVE_ML_DATA, "inputs")
OUTPUT_PATH = os.path.join(PATH_TO_DRIVE_ML_DATA, "outputs")
LOG_PATH = OUTPUT_PATH
LOG_FILE_NAME_PREFIX = "stock_pred_lstm_"
LOG_FILE_NAME_SUFFIX = ".log"
TIME_STEPS = 90 # 3 months
BATCH_SIZE = 20
stime = time.time()
def print_time(text, stime):
seconds = (time.time() - stime)
print(text + " " + str(seconds // 60) + " minutes : " + str(np.round(seconds % 60)) + " seconds")
def get_readable_ctime():
return time.strftime("%d-%m-%Y %H_%M_%S")
def init_logging():
logging.basicConfig(level=logging.INFO)
log_formatter = logging.Formatter("%(asctime)s [%(threadName)-12.12s] [%(levelname)-5.5s] %(message)s")
root_logger = logging.getLogger()
file_handler = logging.FileHandler(os.path.join(LOG_PATH, LOG_FILE_NAME_PREFIX + get_readable_ctime()+".log")) # "{0}/{1}.log".format(LOG_PATH, LOG_FILE_NAME_PREFIX + get_readable_ctime()))
file_handler.setFormatter(log_formatter)
root_logger.addHandler(file_handler)
console_handler = logging.StreamHandler()
console_handler.setFormatter(log_formatter)
root_logger.addHandler(console_handler)
def trim_dataset(mat, batch_size):
"""
trims dataset to a size that's divisible by BATCH_SIZE
"""
no_of_rows_drop = mat.shape[0] % batch_size
if no_of_rows_drop > 0:
return mat[:-no_of_rows_drop]
else:
return mat
def build_timeseries(mat, y_col_index, time_steps):
# total number of time-series samples would be len(mat) - TIME_STEPS
dim_0 = mat.shape[0] - time_steps
dim_1 = mat.shape[1]
x = np.zeros((dim_0, time_steps, dim_1))
y = np.zeros((x.shape[0],))
for i in tqdm(range(dim_0)):
x[i] = mat[i:time_steps + i]
y[i] = mat[time_steps + i, y_col_index]
print("length of time-series i/o {} {}".format(x.shape, y.shape))
return x, y
stime = time.time()
init_logging()
print(str(os.listdir(INPUT_PATH))) # ge.us.txt
df_ge = pd.read_csv(os.path.join(INPUT_PATH,"ge.us.txt"), engine='python')
print(str(df_ge.shape))
print(str(df_ge.columns))
train_cols = ["Open", "High", "Low", "Close", "Volume"]
df_train, df_test = train_test_split(df_ge, train_size=0.8, test_size=0.2, shuffle=False)
print("Train--Test size {} {}".format(len(df_train), len(df_test)))
# scale the feature MinMax, build array
mat = df_ge.loc[:, train_cols].values
print("Deleting unused dataframes of total size(KB) {}"
.format((sys.getsizeof(df_ge) + sys.getsizeof(df_train) + sys.getsizeof(df_test)) // 1024))
del df_ge
del df_test
del df_train
csv_logger = CSVLogger(OUTPUT_PATH + 'log_' + get_readable_ctime() + '.log', append=True)
class LogMetrics(Callback):
def __init__(self, search_params, param, comb_no):
self.param = param
self.self_params = search_params
self.comb_no = comb_no
def on_epoch_end(self, epoch, logs):
for i, key in enumerate(self.self_params.keys()):
logs[key] = self.param[key]
logs["combination_number"] = self.comb_no
def data_dummy():
return None, None, None, None
def data(batch_size, time_steps):
global mat
BATCH_SIZE = batch_size
TIME_STEPS = time_steps
x_train, x_test = train_test_split(mat, train_size=0.8, test_size=0.2, shuffle=False)
# scale the train and test dataset
min_max_scaler = MinMaxScaler()
x_train = min_max_scaler.fit_transform(x_train)
x_test = min_max_scaler.transform(x_test)
x_train_ts, y_train_ts = build_timeseries(x_train, 3, TIME_STEPS)
x_test_ts, y_test_ts = build_timeseries(x_test, 3, TIME_STEPS)
x_train_ts = trim_dataset(x_train_ts, BATCH_SIZE)
y_train_ts = trim_dataset(y_train_ts, BATCH_SIZE)
x_test_ts = trim_dataset(x_test_ts, BATCH_SIZE)
y_test_ts = trim_dataset(y_test_ts, BATCH_SIZE)
print("Test size(trimmed) {}, {}".format(x_test_ts.shape, y_test_ts.shape))
print("Are any NaNs present in train/test matrices?{0},{1}".format(str(np.isnan(x_train).any()),
str(np.isnan(x_test).any())))
return x_train_ts, y_train_ts, x_test_ts, y_test_ts
search_space = {
'batch_size': hp.choice('bs', [30,40,50,60,70]),
'time_steps': hp.choice('ts', [30,50,60,80,90]),
'lstm1_nodes':hp.choice('units_lsmt1', [70,80,100,130]),
'lstm1_dropouts':hp.uniform('dos_lstm1',0,1),
'lstm_layers': hp.choice('num_layers_lstm',[
{
'layers':'one',
},
{
'layers':'two',
'lstm2_nodes':hp.choice('units_lstm2', [20,30,40,50]),
'lstm2_dropouts':hp.uniform('dos_lstm2',0,1)
}
]),
'dense_layers': hp.choice('num_layers_dense',[
{
'layers':'one'
},
{
'layers':'two',
'dense2_nodes':hp.choice('units_dense', [10,20,30,40])
}
]),
"lr": hp.uniform('lr',0,1),
"epochs": hp.choice('epochs', [30, 40, 50, 60, 70]),
"optimizer": hp.choice('optmz',["sgd", "rms"])
}
def create_model_hypopt(params):
print("Trying params:",params)
batch_size = params["batch_size"]
time_steps = params["time_steps"]
x_train_ts, y_train_ts, x_test_ts, y_test_ts = data(batch_size, time_steps)
lstm_model = Sequential()
# (batch_size, timesteps, data_dim)
lstm_model.add(LSTM(params["lstm1_nodes"], batch_input_shape=(batch_size, time_steps, x_train_ts.shape[2]), dropout=params["lstm1_dropouts"],
recurrent_dropout=params["lstm1_dropouts"], stateful=True, return_sequences=True,
kernel_initializer='random_uniform'))
# ,return_sequences=True #LSTM params => dropout=0.2, recurrent_dropout=0.2
if params["lstm_layers"]["layers"] == "two":
lstm_model.add(LSTM(params["lstm_layers"]["lstm2_nodes"], dropout=params["lstm_layers"]["lstm2_dropouts"]))
else:
lstm_model.add(Flatten())
if params["dense_layers"]["layers"] == 'two':
lstm_model.add(Dense(params["dense_layers"]["dense2_nodes"], activation='relu'))
lstm_model.add(Dense(1, activation='sigmoid'))
lr = params["lr"]
epochs = params["epochs"]
if params["optimizer"] == 'rms':
optimizer = optimizers.RMSprop(lr=lr)
else:
optimizer = optimizers.SGD(lr=lr, decay=1e-6, momentum=0.9, nesterov=True)
lstm_model.compile(loss='mean_squared_error', optimizer=optimizer) # binary_crossentropy
history = lstm_model.fit(x_train_ts, y_train_ts, epochs=epochs, verbose=2, batch_size=batch_size,
validation_data=[x_test_ts, y_test_ts],
callbacks=[LogMetrics(search_space, params, -1), csv_logger])
# for key in history.history.keys():
# print(key, "--",history.history[key])
# get the highest validation accuracy of the training epochs
val_error = np.amin(history.history['val_loss'])
print('Best validation error of epoch:', val_error)
return {'loss': val_error, 'status': STATUS_OK, 'model': lstm_model} # if accuracy use '-' sign
trials = Trials()
best = fmin(create_model_hypopt,
space=search_space,
algo=tpe.suggest,
max_evals=2000,
trials=trials)
pickle.dump(best, open(os.path.join(OUTPUT_PATH,"hyperopt_res"),"wb"))
print(best)
print_time("program completed in", stime)