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@article{chen:ngo1,
title={{News-Good or Bad-and its Impact on Volatility Forecasts over Multiple Horizons}},
author={Chen, X. and Ghysels, E.},
journal={Review of Financial Studies},
year={2011},
volume = 24,
pages = {46-81}
}
@unpublished{ghysels_etal_midas-02a,
Author="Ghysels, Eric and Santa-Clara, Pedro and Valkanov, Rossen",
Title="{The MIDAS touch: Mixed data Sampling Regression Models}",
Year=2002,
Note={Working paper, UNC and UCLA}
}
@techreport{alper2008forecasting,
title={{Forecasting Stock Market Volatilities Using MIDAS Regressions: An Application to the Emerging Markets}},
author={Alper, C.E. and Fendoglu, S. and Saltoglu, B.},
year={2008},
institution={MPRA Paper No. 7460}
}
@article{andreou:rmm,
title={Regression Models With Mixed Sampling Frequencies},
author={Andreou, Elena and Ghysels, Eric and Kourtellos, Andros},
journal={Journal of Econometrics},
volume = {158},
pages={246-261},
year={2010}
}
@article{armesto:mic,
title={Measuring the Information Content of the Beige Book: A Mixed Data Sampling Approach},
author={Armesto, Michelle T. and Hernandez-Murillo, Rub{\'e}n and Owyang, Michael and Piger, Jeremy},
journal={Journal of Money, Credit and Banking},
volume = {41},
pages = {35--55},
year = 2009
}
@article{clements2008mfm,
title={{Macroeconomic Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Data: Forecasting US output growth}},
author={Clements, M. and Galv{\~a}o, A.},
journal={Journal of Business and Economic Statistics},
volume={26},
pages={546--554},
year={2008}
}
@article{clements2008fuo,
title={{Forecasting US output growth using Leading Indicators: An appraisal using MIDAS models}},
author={Clements, M.P. and Galv{\~a}o, A.B.},
journal={Journal of Applied Econometrics (forthcoming)},
year={2008}
}
@unpublished{frale-famidas,
title={{FaMIDAS: A Mixed Frequency Factor Model with MIDAS structure}},
author={Frale, C. and Monteforte, L.},
note={Bank of Italy Temi di Discussione - Working Paper No. 788},
year={2011}
}
@article{kuzin-midas,
title={{MIDAS versus mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the Euro Area}},
author={Kuzin, V. and Marcellino, M. and Schumacher, C.},
journal={International Journal of Forecasting},
volume={27},
pages={529--542},
year={2011}
}
@unpublished{monteforte-real,
title={{Real time forecasts of inflation: the role of financial variables}},
author={Monteforte, L. and Moretti, G.},
year={2012},
note = {{\it Journal of Forecasting}, (forthcoming)}
}
@article{marcellino2010factor,
title={{Factor MIDAS for Nowcasting and Forecasting with Ragged-Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP}},
author={Marcellino, M. and Schumacher, C.},
journal={Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics},
volume={72},
pages={518--550},
year={2010}
}
@article{schumacher2008rtf,
title={Real-time Forecasting of German GDP Based on a Large Factor Model with Monthly and Quarterly Data},
author={Schumacher, Christian and Breitung, Jorg},
journal={International Journal of Forecasting},
volume={24},
pages={386--398},
year={2008}
}
@article{AGK_macro,
title={Should macroeconomic forecasters look at daily financial data?},
author={Andreou, E. and Ghysels, E. and Kourtellos, A.},
YEAR=2013,
journal={Journal of Business and Economic Statistics},
volume=31,
pages={240-251}
}
@article{hamilton2008daily,
title={{Daily monetary policy shocks and new home sales}},
author={Hamilton, J.D.},
journal={Journal of Monetary Economics},
volume={55},
pages={1171--1190},
year={2008}
}
@article{ghysels2007valuation,
title={{Valuation in US commercial real estate}},
author={Ghysels, E. and Plazzi, A. and Valkanov, R.},
journal={European Financial Management},
volume={13},
pages={472--497},
year={2007}
}
@techreport{valkanov-does,
title={{Does the Early Exercise Premium Contain Information about Future Underlying Returns?}},
author={Valkanov, R. and Yadav, P. and Zhang, Y.},
institution={Discussion Paper UCSD},
year = {2009}
}
@article{colacito:cmd,
title={{A component model for dynamic correlations}},
author={Colacito, R. and Engle, R.F. and Ghysels, E.},
year={2011},
journal={Journal of Econometrics},
volume= 164,
pages= {45-59}
}
@article{baele2010determinants,
title={{The determinants of stock and bond return comovements}},
author={Baele, L. and Bekaert, G. and Inghelbrecht, K.},
journal={Review of Financial Studies},
year={2010},
volume = {23},
pages = {2374--2428}
}
@unpublished{engle2006ess,
title={{On the Economic Sources of Stock Market Volatility}},
author={Engle, R.F. and Ghysels, E. and Sohn, B.},
note={{\it Review of Economics and Statistics} (forthcoming)},
year={2012}
}
@unpublished{brown_ferreira-03,
Author="Brown, David P. and Ferreira, Miguel A. Ferreira",
Title="{The Information in the Idiosyncratic Volatility of Small Firms}",
Year=2003,
Note={Working paper, Univesrity of Wisconsin and ISCTE}
}
@techreport{chen2009hybrid,
title={{The HYBRID GARCH class of models}},
author={Chen, X. and Ghysels, E. and Wang, F.},
year={2010},
institution={Working Paper, UNC}
}
@article{chen2009role,
title={{On the role of Intra-Daily Seasonality in HYBRID GARCH Models}},
author={Chen, X. and Ghysels, E. and Wang, F.},
year={2011},
journal={Journal of Time Series Econometrics},
volume = 3
}
@article{clements2008quantile,
title={{Quantile forecasts of daily exchange rate returns from forecasts of realized volatility}},
author={Clements, M.P. and Galv{\~a}o, A.B. and Kim, J.H.},
journal={Journal of Empirical Finance},
volume={15},
pages={729--750},
year={2008}
}
@article{ForsGhys2003b,
author = {Lars Forsberg and Eric Ghysels},
year = 2006,
title = {Why do absolute returns predict volatility so well?},
Journal = {Journal of Financial Econometrics},
volume = 6,
pages = {31-67}
}
@article{ghysels_etal_midas-jfe,
Author="Ghysels, Eric and Santa-Clara, Pedro and Valkanov, Ross",
Title="{There is a risk-return tradeoff after all}",
Year=2005,
Journal={Journal of Financial Economics},
volume = 76,
pages= {509-548}
}
@article{ghysels_etal_midas-joe,
Author="Ghysels, E. and Santa-Clara, P. and Valkanov, R.",
Title="{Predicting volatility: getting the most out of return data sampled at different frequencies}",
Year=2006,
Journal={Journal of Econometrics},
Volume = 131,
Pages = {59-95}
}
@article{ghyselsSinko06,
author = {Ghysels, E. and A. Sinko},
year = 2006,
title = {Comment on Realized variance and market microstructure noise by P. R. Hansen and Asger Lunde},
journal ={Journal of Business and Economic Statistics},
volume = {24},
pages = {192-194}
}
@article{Ghysels_Sinko2005,
author = {E. Ghysels and A. Sinko},
year = 2011,
title = {Volatility Prediction and Microstructure Noise},
journal = {Journal of Econometrics},
volume = 160,
pages = {257-271}
}
@unpublished{ghysels-multi,
title={{Multi-Period Forecasts of Variance: Direct, Iterated, and Mixed-Data Approaches}},
author={Ghysels, E. and Rubia, A. and Valkanov, R.},
year={2008},
Note={Working paper, Alicante, UCSD and UNC}
}
@article{leon2007rbr,
title={{The relationship between risk and expected return in Europe}},
author={Le{\'o}n, {\'A}ngel. and Nave, Juan M. and Rubio, Gonzalo},
journal={Journal of Banking and Finance},
volume={31},
pages={495--512},
year={2007}
}
@inproceedings{andreou2011forecasting,
title={Forecasting with mixed-frequency data},
author={Andreou, E. and Ghysels, E. and Kourtellos, A.},
booktitle={Oxford Handbook of Economic Forecasting},
editor={Clements. M. and Hendry, D.},
pages={225-245},
year={2011}
}
@inproceedings{ghysels_valkanov_chap,
title={{Forecasting volatility with MIDAS}},
author={Ghysels, E. and Valkanov, R.},
Booktitle={Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications},
editor={Bauwens, L. and Hafner, C. and Laurent, S.},
pages={383--401},
year={2012},
publisher={{John Wiley \& Sons}}
}
@article{armesto2010forecasting,
title={Forecasting with Mixed Frequencies},
author={Armesto, M.T. and Engemann, K.M. and Owyang, M.T.},
journal={Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review},
volume={92},
pages={521--536},
year={2010}
}
@article{bai:kalman,
title={State Space Models and MIDAS Regressions},
author={Bai, J. and Ghysels, E. and Wright, J.},
journal={Econometric Reviews (forthcoming)},
year={2012}
}
@techreport{kvedaras-regression,
title={{Regression Models with Variables of Different Frequencies: The Case of a Fixed Frequency Ratio}},
author={Kvedaras, V. and Ra{\v{c}}kauskas, A.},
institution={{\it Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics}, forthcoming.},
year = {2010}
}
@article{rodriguez2010mixed,
title={{Mixed Frequency Models: Bayesian Approaches to Estimation and Prediction}},
author={Rodriguez, A. and Puggioni, G.},
journal={International Journal of Forecasting},
year={2010},
volume={26},
pages={293--311}
}
@techreport{wohlrabe2009forecasting,
title={{Forecasting with Mixed-frequency Time Series Models}},
author={Wohlrabe, K.},
year={2009},
institution={Ph. D. Dissertation Ludwig-Maximilians-Universitat Munchen}
}
@BOOK{Dhrymes:71,
author = "Dhrymes, Phoebus",
title = {{Distributed Lags: Problems of Formulation and Estimation}},
year = 1971,
publisher = {{Holden-Day}}
}
@UNPUBLISHED{foroni,
title={{U-MIDAS: MIDAS Regressions with Unrestricted Lag Polynomials}},
author={Foroni, Claudia and Marcellino, Massimiliano and Schumacher, Christian},
note = {{\it Journal of the Royal Statistical Society A} (forthcoming)},
year = 2014
}
@article{chen2011news,
title={News - Good or Bad - and Its Impact on Volatility Predictions over Multiple Horizons},
author={Chen, X. and Ghysels, E.},
journal={Review of Financial Studies},
volume={24-81},
pages={46},
year={2011}
}
@article{bai2002determining,
title={{Determining the Number of Factors in Approximate Factor Models}},
author={Bai, J. and Ng, S.},
journal={Econometrica},
pages={191--221},
year={2002}
}
@article{bai2003inferential,
title={{Inferential Theory for Factor Models of Large Dimensions}},
author={Bai, J.},
journal={Econometrica},
pages={135--171},
year={2003}
}
@article{forni2000generalized,
title={{The Generalized Dynamic-factor Model: Identification and Estimation}},
author={Forni, M. and Hallin, M. and Lippi, M. and Reichlin, L.},
journal={Review of Economics and Statistics},
volume={82},
number={4},
pages={540--554},
year={2000}
}
@article{forni2005generalized,
title={{The Generalized Dynamic Factor Model}},
author={Forni, M. and Hallin, M. and Lippi, M. and Reichlin, L.},
journal={Journal of the American Statistical Association},
volume={100},
number={471},
pages={830--840},
year={2005}
}
@article{stock1989new,
title={{New Indexes of Coincident and Leading Economic Indicators}},
author={Stock, J.H. and Watson, M.W.},
journal={NBER macroeconomics annual},
pages={351--394},
year={1989}
}
@article{stock2003forecasting,
title={{Forecasting Output and Inflation: the Role of Asset Prices}},
author={Stock, J.H. and Watson, M.W.},
journal={Journal of Economic Literature},
pages={788--829},
year={2003}
}
@inproceedings{stock2008fdf,
title={{Forecasting in Dynamic Factor Models Subject to Structural Instability}},
author={Stock, J.H. and Watson, M.W.},
editor = {Jennifer Castle and Neil Shephard},
Booktitle={The Methodology and Practice of Econometrics, A Festschrift in Honour of Professor David F. Hendry},
Publisher = {Oxford University Press},
year={2008}
}
@article{nunes2005nowcasting,
title={Nowcasting Quarterly GDP Growth in a Monthly Coincident Indicator Model},
author={Nunes, L.C.},
journal={Journal of Forecasting},
volume={24},
pages={575--592},
year={2005}
}
@INCOLLECTION{Timmermann:forc,
author = {Timmermann, Allan},
editor = {Elliott, G. and Granger, C. and Timmermann, A.},
title = {Forecast Combinations},
booktitle = {Handbook of Economic Forecasting },
year = {2006},
volume = {1},
pages = {136--196},
publisher = {North Holland},
address = {Amsterdam}
}
@article{Stock:comb7,
title={Combination Forecasts Of Output Growth In A Seven-Country Data Set},
author={Stock, James H. and Watson, Mark W.},
journal={Journal of Forecasting},
volume = {23},
number = {6},
pages={405--430},
year={2004}
}
@unpublished{SW:Phillips,
title={Phillips Curve Inflation Forecasts},
author={Stock, James H. and Watson, Mark W.},
note={NBER Working paper},
year={2008}
}
@article{engle2008sgm,
title={{The Spline-GARCH Model for Low-Frequency Volatility and Its Global Macroeconomic Causes}},
author={Engle, R.F. and Rangel, J.G.},
journal={Review of Financial Studies},
year={2008},
volume={21},
pages={1187--1222}
}
@article{ghysels_wright,
title={{Forecasting Professional Forecasters}},
author={Ghysels, Eric and Wright, Jonathan},
journal={Journal of Business and Economic Statistics},
volume = {27},
pages = {504--516},
year={2009}
}
@article{ghysels:mrf,
title={{MIDAS Regressions: Further Results and New Directions}},
author={Ghysels, E. and Sinko, A. and Valkanov, R.},
journal={Econometric Reviews},
volume={26},
year={2006},
pages={53-90}
}
@article{giannone2008nowcasting,
title={{Nowcasting: The Real-time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data}},
author={Giannone, Domenico and Reichlin, Lucrezia and Small, David},
journal={Journal of Monetary Economics},
volume={55},
pages={665--676},
year={2008}
}
@unpublished{ghysels_mfvar,
author = {Ghysels, Eric},
title={Macroeconomics and the Reality of Mixed Frequency Data},
year = {2012},
note = {SSRN: \url{http://ssrn.com/abstract=2069998 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2069998}}
}
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author = "Harvey, Andrew",
year = 1989,
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Publisher = {Cambridge University Press, Cambridge}
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year = 1997,
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volume = 1,
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title={{Forecasting US GNP at Monthly Intervals With an Estimated Bivariate Time Series Model}},
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pages={2--15},
year={1990}
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@article{mariano2003nci,
title={{A New Coincident Index of Business Cycles Based on Monthly and Quarterly Series}},
author={Mariano, Roberto S. and Murasawa, Yasutomo},
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pages={427--443},
year={2003},
volume = 18
}
@book{mittnik2004forecasting,
title={{Forecasting Quarterly German GDP at Monthly Intervals Using Monthly Ifo Business Conditions Data}},
author={Mittnik, Stefan and Zadrozny, Peter A.},
year={2004},
publisher={Springer}
}
@article{ads:rtm,
title={Real-time Measurement of Business Conditions},
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pages={417--427},
volume = {27},
year = {2009}
}
@UNPUBLISHED{kuzin:mvm,
title={{MIDAS Versus Mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the Euro Area}},
author={Kuzin, Vladimir and Marcellino, Massimiliano and Schumacher, Christian},
note = {Discussion Paper 07/2009 Deutsche Bundesbank},
year = 2009
}
@article{cox1981statistical,
title={Statistical Analysis of Time Series: Some Recent Developments [with Discussion and Reply]},
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title={Hidden Periodic Autoregressive-moving average Models in Time Series Data},
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title={Periodically Correlated Random Sequences},
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title={Seasonality and Approximation Errors in Rational Expectations Models},
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title={Periodicity and Stochastic Trends in Economic Time Series},
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bibdate = "2004-11-29",
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accepted = "2004-11-29",
acknowledgement = "",
keywords = "",
submitted = "2004-11-09",
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