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Convert structured data events from ForecastBench to our FQ format #181

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dpaleka opened this issue Aug 29, 2024 · 1 comment
Open

Convert structured data events from ForecastBench to our FQ format #181

dpaleka opened this issue Aug 29, 2024 · 1 comment
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enhancement New feature or request

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@dpaleka
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dpaleka commented Aug 29, 2024

{
  "id": "Kuwait.Protests.last30DaysTimes10.gt.Protests.30DayAvgOverPast360DaysPlus1",
  "question": "According to ACLED, will there be more than ten times as many 'Protests' in Kuwait for the 30 days before resolution than one plus the 30-day average of 'Protests' over the past 360 days?'Protests' is a type of event determined by ACLED.",
  "background": "N/A",
  "source_resolution_criteria": "N/A",
  "source_begin_datetime": "N/A",
  "source_close_datetime": "N/A",
  "url": "https://acleddata.com/",
  "continual_resolution": true,
  "forecast_horizons": [
    7,
    30,
    90,
    180,
    365,
    1095,
    1825,
    3650
  ],
  "value_at_freeze_datetime": "1.25",
  "value_at_freeze_datetime_explanation": "One plus the 30-day average of 'Protests' over the past 360 days in Kuwait. This reference value will potentially change as ACLED updates its dataset.",
  "source": "acled",
  "human_prompt": "The Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED) collects real-time data on the locations, dates, actors, fatalities, and types of all reported political violence and protest events around the world. You’re going to predict the probability of the following potential outcome we’ve come up with about some of the data ACLED tracks.",
  "resolution_criteria": "Resolves to the value calculated from the ACLED dataset once the data is published.",
  "freeze_datetime": "2024-04-26T00:00:00+00:00",
  "combination_of": "N/A"
}
@dpaleka dpaleka self-assigned this Aug 29, 2024
@dpaleka dpaleka added the enhancement New feature or request label Sep 15, 2024
@dpaleka
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dpaleka commented Sep 21, 2024

Not doing this for the paper.

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