assignment4.bib

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@Article{WardGreenhillBakke2010a,
  author       = {Michael D Ward and Brian D Greenhill and Kristin M Bakke},
  title        = {The perils of policy by {p}-value: Predicting civil conflicts},
  journaltitle = {Journal of Peace Research},
  date         = {2010-07},
  volume       = {47},
  number       = {4},
  pages        = {363--375},
  doi          = {10.1177/0022343309356491},
  publisher    = {{SAGE} Publications},
  timestamp    = {2017.05.15},
}

@Article{MontgomeryNyhan2010a,
  author       = {Jacob M. Montgomery and Brendan Nyhan},
  title        = {Bayesian Model Averaging: Theoretical Developments and Practical Applications},
  journaltitle = {Political Analysis},
  date         = {2010},
  volume       = {18},
  number       = {02},
  pages        = {245--270},
  doi          = {10.1093/pan/mpq001},
  publisher    = {Cambridge University Press (CUP)},
  timestamp    = {2017.05.15},
}

@Article{HegreSambanis2006a,
  author       = {Håvard Hegre and Nicholas Sambanis},
  title        = {Sensitivity Analysis of Empirical Results on Civil War Onset},
  journaltitle = {Journal of Conflict Resolution},
  date         = {2006-08},
  volume       = {50},
  number       = {4},
  pages        = {508--535},
  doi          = {10.1177/0022002706289303},
  publisher    = {{SAGE} Publications},
  timestamp    = {2017.05.15},
}

@Article{CarterSignorino2010a,
  author    = {David B. Carter and Curtis S. Signorino},
  title     = {Back to the Future: Modeling Time Dependence in Binary Data},
  journal   = {Political Analysis},
  year      = {2010},
  volume    = {18},
  number    = {03},
  pages     = {271--292},
  doi       = {10.1093/pan/mpq013},
  publisher = {Cambridge University Press ({CUP})},
  timestamp = {2017.05.15},
}

@Article{BeckKatzTucker1998a,
  author       = {Beck, Nathaniel and Katz, Jonathan N. and Tucker, Richard},
  title        = {Taking Time Seriously: Time-Series-Cross-Section Analysis with a Binary Dependent Variable},
  journaltitle = {American Journal of Political Science},
  date         = {1998},
  volume       = {42},
  number       = {4},
  pages        = {1260--1288},
  url          = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2991857},
  publisher    = {[Midwest Political Science Association, Wiley]},
  timestamp    = {2017.05.15},
}

@Article{Box-SteffensmeierZorn2001a,
  author    = {Janet M. Box-Steffensmeier and Christopher J. W. Zorn},
  title     = {Duration Models and Proportional Hazards in Political Science},
  journal   = {American Journal of Political Science},
  year      = {2001},
  volume    = {45},
  number    = {4},
  pages     = {972-988},
  issn      = {00925853, 15405907},
  url       = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2669335},
  abstract  = {A key assumption of nearly all widely used duration models is that the hazard ratios (i.e., the conditional relative risks across substrata) are proportional to one another and that this proportionality is maintained over time. Estimation of proportional hazards models when hazards are non-proportional results in coefficient biases and decreased power of significance tests. Techniques for relaxing this assumption allow scholars to test whether the effects of covariates change over time and also permit a more nuanced understanding of the phenomenon being studied. We address the potential problems with incorrectly assuming proportionality, illustrate a number of tests for non-proportionality, and conclude with a discussion of how to accurately and efficiently estimate these models in the presence of nonproportional hazards. We investigate the proportionality assumption for Cox's semiparametric model in the context of the "liberal peace" debate, using data on international conflict in the postwar period.},
  publisher = {[Midwest Political Science Association, Wiley]},
  timestamp = {2017.05.15},
}

@Article{KingZeng2001b,
  author       = {Gary King and Langche Zeng},
  title        = {Logistic Regression in Rare Events Data},
  journaltitle = {Political Analysis},
  date         = {2001},
  volume       = {9},
  number       = {2},
  pages        = {137--163},
  url          = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/25791637},
  publisher    = {[Oxford University Press, Society for Political Methodology]},
  timestamp    = {2017.05.15},
}

@Article{KingZeng2001a,
  author       = {Gary King and Langche Zeng},
  title        = {Explaining Rare Events in International Relations},
  journaltitle = {International Organization},
  date         = {2001-09},
  volume       = {55},
  number       = {3},
  pages        = {693--715},
  doi          = {10.1162/00208180152507597},
  publisher    = {Cambridge University Press (CUP)},
  timestamp    = {2017.05.15},
}

@Article{FearonLaitin2003a,
  author    = {Fearon, James D. and Laitin, David D.},
  title     = {Ethnicity, Insurgency, and Civil War},
  journal   = {American Political Science Review},
  year      = {2003},
  volume    = {97},
  number    = {01},
  month     = {feb},
  pages     = {75--90},
  doi       = {10.1017/s0003055403000534},
  publisher = {Cambridge University Press ({CUP})},
  timestamp = {2017.05.15},
}

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